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Author Topic: East Wickham by-election  (Read 11655 times)
The Bishop
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« Reply #105 on: January 23, 2009, 12:59:29 AM »

"Leicester" already told us that on the parallel thread!
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"I don't think the choice is any more between Conservatives and Labour - it is now between the Tories and the Liberal Democrats"

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Darren C
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« Reply #106 on: January 23, 2009, 01:00:46 AM »

Not about Labour being likely 4th he didn't.  Tongue
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DBIV
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« Reply #107 on: January 23, 2009, 01:04:52 AM »

One blogger is reporting that the BNP has won. No confirmation.
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Leicester
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« Reply #108 on: January 23, 2009, 01:05:40 AM »

2nd recount tories 8 ahead

I am hearing Labour 3rd darren EDP last but with over 100 votes
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Leicester
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« Reply #109 on: January 23, 2009, 01:06:53 AM »

One blogger is reporting that the BNP has won. No confirmation.

HuhHuh?? bloody hate not being at the count when its close
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Darren C
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« Reply #110 on: January 23, 2009, 01:08:04 AM »

Ok, my report was from a viewing of the tally but it may be close for third place, not withstanding LibDem and Labour barcharts... Cheesy
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GreenKeane
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« Reply #111 on: January 23, 2009, 01:08:44 AM »

2nd recount tories 8 ahead

I am hearing Labour 3rd darren EDP last but with over 100 votes

Out of interest, do you find ED and their similar equivalents tend to take away support from the BNP in elections, or do they help draw away more votes from the bigger parties?
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Leicester
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« Reply #112 on: January 23, 2009, 01:10:01 AM »

2nd recount tories 8 ahead

I am hearing Labour 3rd darren EDP last but with over 100 votes

Out of interest, do you find ED and their similar equivalents tend to take away support from the BNP in elections, or do they help draw away more votes from the bigger parties?

depends on location and campaign, personally i like it when more and more parties stand it brings the winning percentage down
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GreenKeane
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« Reply #113 on: January 23, 2009, 01:12:36 AM »

depends on location and campaign, personally i like it when more and more parties stand it brings the winning percentage down

Something we don't get on locals now in Scotland with STV.  There was one ward in Edinburgh, I think it was Portobello, that had about 15 candidates for 3 seats.  I think the third seat went to a candidate with something like 7-8% of first preference votes. 
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Darren C
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« Reply #114 on: January 23, 2009, 01:18:22 AM »

This one's exciting...Cool
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Peter Golds
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« Reply #115 on: January 23, 2009, 01:22:26 AM »

Con 798; BNP 790; Lab 700; LD 564; ED 128
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« Reply #116 on: January 23, 2009, 01:26:12 AM »

Quote
Con 798; BNP 790; Lab 700; LD 564; ED 128

If that is the case one could assume that without the English Democrats standing this seat could of well gone to the BNP.
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Kingston Dan
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« Reply #117 on: January 23, 2009, 01:26:30 AM »

Con 798; BNP 790; Lab 700; LD 564; ED 128

So far from Darren's rather ridiculous post the campaigns by all the mainstream parties stopped the BNP winning...
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GreenKeane
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« Reply #118 on: January 23, 2009, 01:29:34 AM »

Con 798; BNP 790; Lab 700; LD 564; ED 128

So far from Darren's rather ridiculous post the campaigns by all the mainstream parties stopped the BNP winning...

Yes, not trying to be a convoluted statistician here or anything, but surely it's the Conservatives having more votes than the BNP that stopped the BNP winning.  Tongue
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Darren C
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« Reply #119 on: January 23, 2009, 01:31:16 AM »

I don't agree Dan. Had the LibDems taken 9 more votes from the Conservatives the BNP would have won.  
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