Prediction Competition for July

[Do Gooder]

Don't rub it in 

Zoe - the only seat you didn't call as a Con one was Rhondda.

Well, that's something...

But yeah, even I beat Zoe this week.

I didn't. 

[Do Gooder]

My meagre effort this week:



Bath/NE Somerset UA, Radstock:  Lab 50, Ind 24, Con 18, LD 8.

Mid Sussex DC, Franklands:  Con 48, Ind 32, LD 20.

Wolverhampton MBC, Bilston North:  Lab 51, Con 24, LD 11, BNP 8, UKIP 6.

[GreenKeane]

Bath/NE Somerset, Radstock
Lab 46%
Ind 28%
Con 15%
LD 11%

Mid Sussex, Haywards Heath Franklands
Con 53%
Ind 26%
LD 21%

Wolverhampton, Bilston North
Lab 44%
Con 29%
LD 17%
BNP 7%
UKIP 3%

[phildav76]

Bath & North East Somerset - Radstock  Lab 42, Ind 28, LD 20, Con 10
Mid Sussex - Haywards Heath Franklands  Con 50, LD 25, Ind 25
Wolverhampton - Bilston North  Lab 49, Con 26, LD 9, BNP 8, UKIP 8

[Zoe]

Bath & North East Somerset - Radstock Ward: Lab 44, Ind 24, LD 21, Con 11
Mid Sussex - Haywards Heath Franklands Ward:  Con 48, LD 28, Ind 24
Wolverhampton - Bilston North Ward:  Lab 55, Con 22, LD 11, BNP 7, UKIP 5

[hempie]

Bath/NE Somerset - Radstock  Lab 45, Ind 23, LD 18, Con 14
Mid Sussex - Haywards Heath Franklands  Con 50, LD 40, Ind 10
Wolverhampton - Bilston North  Lab 45, Con 26, LD 12, BNP 10, UKIP 7

[Mark Senior]

  Voici Les Predictions Senior

  Bath Lab 45 LD 25 Ind 18 Con 12
  Mid Sussex Con 48 LD 30 Ind 22
  Wolverhampton Lab 48 Con 30 BNP 9 LD 8 UKIP 5

[Dizz]

Bath & North East Somerset - Radstock  Lab 35, Ind 33, LD 22, Con 10
Mid Sussex - Haywards Heath Franklands  Con 48.5, LD 41.8, Ind 9.7
Wolverhampton - Bilston North  Lab 48.3, Con 27.4, LD 11.2, BNP 7.3, UKIP 5.8

 

[GreenKeane]

Since Middle Englander is away and I still have the spreadsheet code from last week, I might as well handle this in an unofficial capacity again.

Of 7 predictions:

Bath/NE Somerset UA, Radstock - all 7 Lab gains, majority range 2-26%.
Mid Sussex DC, Haywards Heath Franklands - all 7 Con holds, majority range 6.7-27%.
Wolverhampton MBC, Bilston North - all 7 Lab gains, majority range 15-33%.

Not exactly much division this week anyway, so hopefully results will be up nice and quickly.

[erlend]

I think I am right in saying that there is a wildcard. Pete is away although has emailed predictions to ME.

[GreenKeane]

I think I am right in saying that there is a wildcard. Pete is away although has emailed predictions to ME.

I don't have it, so it'll just have to wait until the official results come through for Pete's result to be included.

[Dizz]

Calculating the top 3 only with one result to go I get Mark Senior leading by 24 from Hempie with Dizz 5 further back.  The Haywards Heath predictions are such that the top 2 may just change if Hempie's prediction is perfect whereas I can catch neither.  I should have gone for LD gain in Sussex in which case I could have.  Of course this is subject to Pete's predictions etc etc.

[Dizz]

Mark Senior & Hempie are too close to call with Dizz about 4.5 faults back.

The 45 faults for me 2 weeks' ago were a killer.

[Mark Senior]

  Will have to wait for official verdict to settle a race down to the wire . Was a bit too clever in Haywards Heath as I knocked down my LibDem forecast as I thought having an Asian candidate would move some voters to the Independent , will be interesting to compare the TC election result for the same ward also held yesterday when it is published .

[GreenKeane]

Just woke up, will finish off the spreadsheet after my coffee...